The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note climbed to around 4.14% on Friday, reversing a brief dip in the previous session, as investors assessed the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook amid soft inflation and labor market signals. November’s CPI report showed headline inflation at 2.7%, the lowest since July and below forecasts of 3.1%, while core inflation slowed to 2.6% to the weakest pace since early 2021. Data earlier this week also revealed that the November unemployment rate rose to 4.6%, the highest since 2021. The combination of subdued inflation and signs of a cooling labor market provides the Fed with more room to cut rates in 2026, though markets expect policy to remain on hold in January. Investors are closely watching the possibility of rate cuts in March and July next year.
